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Buying and Shorting.... Percent confidence?

I just wanted to say the current layout is a bit hard to grasp as far as what's going on. There aren't a lot of short term "bets" going on so I don't know for certain whether anything I do is going to yield the intended results. For instance, if I Short 100 shares at "1" does that mean I'm betting 100 Ethereum test tokens at 100% confidence against the posted question? If I Buy 100 at .2 does that mean I have 20% confidence that the posted statement is true? How does a large "bet" affect odds?

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